Eighteen percent of trading businesses expect to raise the prices of goods or services this month.

Decline

How do you know when a business is in trouble?

BHS, Jessops, Clintons, Mothercare, Debenhams, Maplin, Blockbuster, MFI, Allied Carpets…

There’s a long list. 

Each of them tells a story of disappointment, humiliation, the inescapability of gradualism and the very personal impact of job losses.

Businesses become unviable for all sorts of reasons;

Demand; changes in customer habits or superior technical developments. That’s Blockbuster. 

Financial sustainability; borrowings, revenues, cash-flow. That’s BHS.

Competitive advantage; Jessops eclipsed by digital and cameraphones.

Scaleability and growth; Clintons couldn’t get big enough, quick enough.

Management. All of the above! All the problems were foreseeable but management didn’t act quick enough. 

Woolworths had a confusing offering, most of what they did was duplicated better, elsewhere. It was the same for BHS. Some argue Boots will go the same way.

John Lewis is struggling and are urgently trying to diversify into rental homes. Swapping retailing for renting.

More than a quarter of businesses reported their turnover was lower in April 2023 compared with the previous month. 

Eighteen percent of trading businesses expect to raise the prices of goods or services this month.

The viability of a business depends on the vagaries of demand, customer’s attitude and developments elsewhere. 

It’s also about staff. The working environment, how easy the work is, can you hire, train and retain?

If I were to tell you of a business where over one third of the staff thought their workplace wasn’t fit for purpose…

… you’d probably think I was talking about a business that was teetering on the brink.

What, if I were to confide in you…

… nearly a quarter were working in a business that relied on the telephone and a third thought they phone systems were useless?

What if you were told the regulations said the business had to be conducted in rooms around 12msq

… but were generally well below that, you’d be forgive for thinking the business was heading for regulatory trouble.

Add to all that…

… there was probably unsafe staffing with the numbers in decline…

… nearly half of the workers thought the shortage of trainers and supervisors was making a tricky situation worse?

There’s more…

… nearly half of the staff think their PC or laptop software is not fit for purpose…

… over a third say their broadband is naff and over two thirds say they can’t exchange information with other branches. 

Might be Phones4U, HMV?

You’ve guessed…

… this is an old fashioned business. It has a huge carbon footprint. Responsible for 0.9% of the UK’s total emissions and 23% of the sector. 

To make things worse. Huge chunks of it are trapped into using pen and paper.

This is going nowhere. It’s Mamas and Papas, Karen Millen, Toys ‘R’ Us, Focus DIY. What is it? What high street brand are we talking about?

It is primary care.

Now, before I get inundated by irate practice managers telling me it’s not like that where they work… that’s not the point. 

The sector as a whole is in the Phillips Casette world. Instamatic cameras and Twiggy Dolls.

Who says so?

All the facts and figures I have quoted (and a lot more beside) come from the Royal College of General Practitioner’s report ‘Fit for the Future’… just published. (And the HSJ).

If this report was a vehicle, it would be a bulldozer.

If it were a drink it would be Hapsburg Absinthe XC.

It rips the roof off and shows us, the front door of the NHS needs major investment and a complete reworking.

But… 

Is it worth saving? Is it set to collapse, anyway? Is the kind of money it needs ever going to be available?

If the business owners can’t even get their phones sorted out… are we dealing with the right people?

Like so many business… has its time come? 

Is primary care the Bon Marche and Mothercare of the NHS? 

Of course we need a vibrant, well staffed and funded primary care. 

But…

… is what we have repairable or do we watch it go the same way as Virgin Records… in a world of downloads and streaming.

Primary care in a world of video consultations, vertical ownership, consolidation and Darzi Centres?

Should we dump the partnership model and sell primary care franchises with tight contractural requirements on investment and standards.

The RCGP, NHSE and for that matter, the pointless CQC, have presided over a decline that is hard to fathom, hard to untangle and really tough for RCGP members to admit.

Whoever is the primary care Tsar needs to get real, get some new policies and…

... try to get out of managing decline.

News and Comment from Roy Lilley
Contact Roy – please use this e-address roy.lilley@nhsmanagers.net
Reproduced at thetrainingnet.com by kind permission of Roy Lilley.

Previous Posts

A wooden bench on a grassy area overlooks a large body of water, with mountains visible in the hazy background.

Headline.

Streeting’s latest NHS workforce plan ignores systemic issues, focusing on recruiting more GPs despite the strain on resources. The real solution? Shifting care to community nurses, who offer better value and flexibility.

Read More »
A modern white hospital building with multiple windows stands in front of a taller white skyscraper, under a blue sky with clouds, partially obscured by a green hedge.

Think again.

Think “hospital,” and you picture nurses, ambulances, or stethoscopes—not someone hunched over a desk solving the NHS equivalent of a mathematical enigma. Yet, administrators are its hidden heroes.

Read More »
A man sits on a gray couch, talking on his smartphone while engaging with his laptop, the backdrop of a brick wall emphasizing the modern workspace vibe—a scene possibly oriented towards primary care training for GPs.

Forever!

I’m sitting at the computer screen, wondering if it’s worth taking up your time. Charmer’s speech yesterday—three commitments, five missions, six milestones—offered no clarity, just a rat’s nest of priorities.

Read More »
A woman sits cross-legged on a rocky riverbank, meditating with her eyes closed. She wears a white top and gray pants, much like medical staff in moments of calm between responsibilities, surrounded by greenery and the soothing flow of the river.

Fat chance!

Health Secretary Wes Streeting faces ridicule over a ban on sugary food ads before 9 PM, accused of ‘nanny-state’ tactics while failing to address deeper causes of childhood obesity.

Read More »
A doctor holding a large hourglass is surrounded by medical graphics, illustrating NHS capacity and patient inflow, highlighting the critical role of GP training in navigating a hospital's dynamic environment.

It might just be possible!

Ancient China’s gifts include silk, spices, and calculus. Applied to the NHS, calculus explains how waiting lists grow due to inefficiencies. Fixing productivity, not just efficiency, is key to improvement.

Read More »
A yellow and black butterfly with intricate patterns rests on a plant amid green foliage, offering a moment of tranquility reminiscent of nature's gentle touch in healing settings like those embraced by dedicated NHS doctors.

Butterfly.

The NHS faces chaos as budget cuts and aging demographics collide, with ambulance services reducing capacity amid rising demand. Like the butterfly effect, small decisions now amplify systemic crises.

Read More »
Lindsay Dubock stands at the front of the room, addressing a seated audience with dynamic insights in a conference setting. Engaging slides from The Training Network illuminate behind her, enhancing the training experience.

The General Practice Toolkit

Lindsay delivered The General Practice Toolkit to over 100 NHS Primary Care delegates at Bromley Court Hotel, equipping them with practical strategies to enhance mental health, resilience, and holistic patient care.

Read More »
A rainy city street with a dome-topped cathedral in the background is surrounded by tall buildings. Amidst the bustle of black cabs and red buses, doctors hurrying to provide primary care walk alongside others with umbrellas on the slick pavement.

Put your money on them. 

Drivers spend two days a year waiting at red lights. Meanwhile, 4.2 million UK people claim health-related benefits. Tackling these challenges? Focus on trust-building, holistic care, and our GPs.

Read More »